by Sihoiba » Tue Apr 13, 2010 7:44 pm
"Huzzah! That improves the worst case to 2 dwagons dead from the first attack, and still 1 dead from the second attack leaving 2 dwagons and less damage taken by the Diwigable in the second stack, and improves the best case to four dragons dead in the 1st attack, and less hits taken by the Diwigible in the second stack."
Duke Kettwey looks worried as each of the MCC commanders seems to be keen to lead the charge individually circumstances be damned.
"Dagnabbit old chap, I hate to say it but stacking as you intend to would actually worsen our chances to taking on the dragons, the gwiffon hammers are formidable, but we are stronger if we divide them up and adding you would bring less to the first of my suggested stacks as a 9th unit that we'd lose in stack bonus. I understand the desire to show those scaly blighters and Stanley's rats what for, but if we all chase after personal glory, there's a good chance the dwagons will survive and inflict unnecessary loses. Our strength as a coalition is working together, imagine what would happen if we hadn't have planned our scouting orders so well, dwagons behind our lines and any one of our forces vulnerable to attack. You're talking about avoiding losing a whole stack, I'm planning not to lose a single unit for possibly wiping out their entire force eh wot! I'd rather we all worked together, but if you plan to charge your gwiffon hammers straight into that full stack of dwagons I won't let you sacrifice my units to your glory charge!"
----
So does that mean NetherErf only has 2 shadows now? I'll need to change suggested the make up of stack 2 to accommodate this, replacing the shadows with Duke Kettwey and Flonne (note Flonne doesn't need a mount as she has enough move to fly).
Turbler want to roll for Flonne's level?
Ignoring the possibility that stack 2 might need tweaking, that leaves the following non-assigned flyers and scouts capable of hitting the dwagons in a third stack:
Duke Kettwey
2 Golman Archers (if Prince Lokarat is happy to change his orders)
1 Pssitacine
7 Airgun
1 Delver
Hits 22, Attack 14, all stacked together that's 3-8 hits it'll inflict. Which in a worst case scenario wouldn't even finish off a wounded dragon.
Alternatively assuming we replace the two lost Shadows with Kettwey and Flonne we could stick Lokarat on NetherErf Manticowe and have a stack of
2 Golman Archers
1 Delver
6 Airgun
1 Manticowe
Prince Lokarat
28 hits, Attack 18, all stacked together that's 5-11 still not enough to finish off a wounded dragon if worst comes to worst (2 less units as that marginally improves the worst case from 4 hits to 5 hits).
Either way facing a worst case of stack of 2 dwagons, and 3 commanders, 44 hits, 7-17, so likely losing at best a Delver, and worst, Delver, both Archers and all 6 of the Airguns.
Of course if the Archers moved to D10 following prior orders then we have to replace the 2 Archers with the Pssitacine, and the last air gun, while that doesn't change the damage potential, on the best case we lost 2 Airguns (or 1 Pssitacine and an Airgun) and on the worst case Delver, all 7 Airguns and the Pssitacine with Prince Lokarat on a Manticowe with only 1 hit left.
LT_Dave going on the Delver's location I take it the NetherErf commander popped in time to give the orders to the units in I14. Also I think the Gyroscopes position is wrong, as it appears to have scouted B12, C11, A10, it should have returned to C10, not still be at C12.
------------------
Just a general note, I realise I've basically offered a plan for the major battle so far and in doing so have potentially taken away the other players chance to have their own plans (At least when it comes to non flying non-commander unit. Thing I'd quite like the MCC to win this game, and our best chance is to share all our forces and maximise our strengths. I won't like the idea of throwing away this advantage we gained to everyone trying to do their own thing is not a pleasant one to me, so er please don't, but if you must I promise no hard feelings about it.
I still won't give forces to Crovius' suicide charge, I'll do the mathmancy and show how much worst the Dagnabbit + 4 gwiffon hammers + the best of the rest makes us if need be.