Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby drachefly » Tue Aug 20, 2013 9:08 pm

YesNinja said the FAQ war room.

I'm saying it's in the field. Aside from that, it's an empty pool.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby bladestorm » Tue Aug 20, 2013 9:24 pm

drachefly wrote:YesNinja said the FAQ war room.

I'm saying it's in the field. Aside from that, it's an empty pool.

I want the Thinkamancer's Temple.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby YesNinja » Thu Aug 22, 2013 6:07 pm

Oh. Anyone wanna bet on Jillian's heir? I'll put 10q on it being a caster. That's pretty much putting me at my max, though. Any takers? :mrgreen:
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby No one in particular » Thu Aug 22, 2013 9:19 pm

Okay, so, I haven't been following the betting until now, but a couple of quick searches makes me think this bet hasn't been made yet. Here's my bet:

Parson is a Date-a-mancer.
I'm new to betting, so I can go 100q in debt, right? Well, I'm willing to plunk it all down on Yes.

I'm willing to go 1 on 1 with this bet, or have it be a pool split amongst Yes and No.

Closes when we get a definite verdict on Parson's magical discipline, of course.

Any takers?
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby Lilwik » Thu Aug 22, 2013 10:31 pm

No one in particular wrote:Parson is a Date-a-mancer.
I'm new to betting, so I can go 100q in debt, right? Well, I'm willing to plunk it all down on Yes.

I'm against making bets that could take months or years to resolve in principle, but I like this bet.

I'll bet 10q on No.

Surely you realize that making this bet commits your entire 100q for an indefinite amount of time, so you can't make any other bets.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby No one in particular » Thu Aug 22, 2013 10:35 pm

Lilwik wrote:
No one in particular wrote:Parson is a Date-a-mancer.
I'm new to betting, so I can go 100q in debt, right? Well, I'm willing to plunk it all down on Yes.

I'm against making bets that could take months or years to resolve in principle, but I like this bet.

I'll bet 10q on No.

Surely you realize that making this bet commits your entire 100q for an indefinite amount of time, so you can't make any other bets.

Hey, it's the only thing I care about enough to bet on. I'm fine with it.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby wih » Thu Aug 22, 2013 11:36 pm

Lilwik wrote:
No one in particular wrote:Parson is a Date-a-mancer.
I'm new to betting, so I can go 100q in debt, right? Well, I'm willing to plunk it all down on Yes.

I'm against making bets that could take months or years to resolve in principle, but I like this bet.

I'll bet 10q on No.

Surely you realize that making this bet commits your entire 100q for an indefinite amount of time, so you can't make any other bets.


I'll take another 30q of that - that Parson is not a Date-a-mancer. So there's 60q of that bet left if others want in.

---

Separately, I'll put up a bet that, if Parson has a specific Discipline, it's Signamancy. Putting down 20q.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby drachefly » Fri Aug 23, 2013 12:15 am

I'll take another 20 of the Date-a-mancy bet.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby No one in particular » Fri Aug 23, 2013 12:18 am

drachefly wrote:I'll take another 20 of the Date-a-mancy bet.

On the No side, right?

Ooh! Or are you with me on him totally being a Date-a-mancer? :D
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby Shai_hulud » Fri Aug 23, 2013 2:00 am

I'm on your side. I bet he's a masterdater. I bet he masterdates every night. (I am not making a real bet)
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby Whispri » Fri Aug 23, 2013 7:52 am

drachefly wrote:~~~~
Nnelg bets 10q to Bladestorm's 5q that Jillian croaks Olive Branch after the latter becomes Overlady of Haffaton.
~~~~
Kaed bet mortissimus 10q that Charlie somehow wrangles a magical contract with Faq as part of the trial of Olive Branch, that stipulates they forget everything they know about his past afterwards.
~~~~
Dalen Mantil bet Whispri 10q that the broom Jillian (ordered) shot down in episode 65 landed in the Garden and set it ablaze, and Olive meets her end trying and failing to put it out. Jillian croaks Olive (indirectly), satisfying Fate, and everything else (Faq, the Jillian-Loj relationship, the present non-existence of the flowers) is ready and waiting for Stanley to swoop in with his dwagons.
~~~~
Xarx's 20q to Bladestorm's 10q that Olive croaks by the end of Book 0.

Well it looks like Olive's dead, so...
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby Xarx » Fri Aug 23, 2013 8:51 am

No one in particular wrote:Okay, so, I haven't been following the betting until now, but a couple of quick searches makes me think this bet hasn't been made yet. Here's my bet:

Parson is a Date-a-mancer.
I'm new to betting, so I can go 100q in debt, right? Well, I'm willing to plunk it all down on Yes.

I'm willing to go 1 on 1 with this bet, or have it be a pool split amongst Yes and No.

Closes when we get a definite verdict on Parson's magical discipline, of course.

Any takers?


I'll take 20 of that against.

Whispri wrote:Well it looks like Olive's dead, so...


Most likely, but everyone's too high to be absolutely certain. Better not call it yet.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby mortissimus » Fri Aug 23, 2013 9:24 am

No one in particular wrote:Okay, so, I haven't been following the betting until now, but a couple of quick searches makes me think this bet hasn't been made yet. Here's my bet:

Parson is a Date-a-mancer.
I'm new to betting, so I can go 100q in debt, right? Well, I'm willing to plunk it all down on Yes.

I'm willing to go 1 on 1 with this bet, or have it be a pool split amongst Yes and No.

Closes when we get a definite verdict on Parson's magical discipline, of course.

Any takers?


I'm in for 20. Which brings us up to 100 if I counted correctly.

Edit: that would be 20 on No.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby drachefly » Fri Aug 23, 2013 1:23 pm

Xarx wrote:
Whispri wrote:Well it looks like Olive's dead, so...


Most likely, but everyone's too high to be absolutely certain. Better not call it yet.


Good enough for me. I also closed the one about what gets proven during the trial.

I can reverse them if the trial resumes, but since both Charlie and Banhammer would be against it, it seems unlikely all around.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby Xarx » Fri Aug 23, 2013 1:26 pm

New bet: 10q says that the troops outside the emerald city are really a veil cast by archons.

Oh, and Drachefly, I also had 5q on whether the broom started the fire. Pretty sure we can rule that out.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby GWvsJohn » Fri Aug 23, 2013 3:15 pm

Xarx wrote:New bet: 10q says that the troops outside the emerald city are really a veil cast by archons.


I'll take that.
I know how it works. And I'm not that confident.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby bladestorm » Fri Aug 23, 2013 4:32 pm

I have dropped from second place to fifth place, and may soon join the ranks of negative quatloo.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby MadZuri » Fri Aug 23, 2013 5:58 pm

Xarx wrote:New bet: 10q says that the troops outside the emerald city are really a veil cast by archons.

I'll also take that bet.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby Xarx » Fri Aug 23, 2013 6:06 pm

MadZuri wrote:
Xarx wrote:New bet: 10q says that the troops outside the emerald city are really a veil cast by archons.

I'll also take that bet.


Well, I only offered it once, but sure. I'll cover yours too. That's it though, don't want to go crazy.
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Re: Amateur Predictamancy Thread (BETTING)

Postby mortissimus » Sat Aug 24, 2013 5:12 am

Oh, I did not realise that was a point of different interpretations.

Well, then: 5q on the army outside the gates being natural allies of Haffaton.
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