ManaCaster wrote:You could interpret it that way, but really, you could stretch just about any interpretation, and Wanda was not on the Haffaton side at that point. Marie believed that Haffaton as a side would cause Banhammer's demise. The fact that she would admit to Jillian that Predictamancers can get stuff wrong proves as much.
It's not really much of a stretch. Haffaton killed Banhammer the moment they forced Faq to accept Wanda's turning, even if no one realized it at the time. Contrary to being a stretch, it was as sure as a slow acting poison. If people had kept on assuming that Marie's Prediction must be right, they could have seen Wanda's betrayal coming. Unfortunately it seems that even Marie decided that her Prediction had been wrong.
The fact that Marie admitted to being wrong doesn't have as clear a meaning as it seems. It conflicts with the confidence we get from Predictamancers, so we can't just accept either the confidence or the admission of fallibility at face value; we need to find a way to reconcile them with each other. The situation in which she admitted fallibility seems to make it clear. A Prediction was right, but in a way that made it look like the Prediction was going to be wrong. With the end of Haffaton anyone could be forgiven for assuming that Haffaton had failed to kill Banhammer. So then Predictamancy reveals the inevitable future, but Predictamancers are only human and capable of making mistake both in how they report the future and in their own guesses about the future. So a Predictamancer's words don't always need to be right, but the Predictamancy that underlies those words is always right. That's why Marie and that other Predictamancer can be totally confident that Parson would get through the portal, because their Predictamancy was showing it to both of them as clearly as if they were seeing it with their eyes, and they know that (unlike eyesight) Predictamancy can't be fooled. The only way Predictamancy can get things wrong is if the Predictamancer misinterprets what Predictamancy shows her, as Marie must have done with the whole Faq/Wanda/Haffaton situation. (Unless Marie actually knew what Wanda was going to do and was deliberately keeping it from everyone for their own good.)
That's the only explanation that seems to fit. It means that Predictamancers can make mistakes, explaining Marie's admission, but it doesn't take the mistakes so far as to necessarily undermine the Predictamancer's confidence. If the magic of Predictamancy itself were capable of getting stuff wrong, like Foolamancy can fool the eyes and ears, then Predictamancers could never
be confident. We especially know that Carnymancers can't act like Foolamancers for Predictions.