MarbitChow wrote:Charlie has been shown to have some influence on neutral units, including where (or whether?) they spawn.
Citation, please. If you're thinking of the 70% chance he is behind the missing Gobwins, that isn't a matter of units popping, it's a matter of hiring the ones that exist. We know fromt eh uncroaked Archons that prior to tBfGK, Charlie had no Natural Allies in his employ, so he is capable of hiring any of them. I have pointed out elsewhere
Charlie has also been shown to be able to have remarkable intelligence - we know that he can access any information communicated through Thinkamancy. Odds are good that major initiatives are coordinated through Thinkagrams, so Charlie would be aware of them.
I never said anything about him being unaware. Wanda would have used Thinkamancy to contact the Chief Warlord Stanley. What I can't fathom is why he would care.
We know that Charlie is responsible for certain events:
All listed events are post-tBfGK, when the Royal Sides were no longer hiring Stanley. Doing something against GK at this time makes him a viable business partner again. I am asking for a reason why Charlie would care, when Stanley was just another Chief Warlord of just another Side.
We know that similar events have occurred in the past:
Saline was defeated by an internal revolt, much like the Giants revolting in Jillian's encounter.
Stanley's FAQ victory was a direct result of an unusual concentration of popped dwagons that he could tame, directly in his path.
Noth of which are consistent with the Conspiracy's goals, not Charlie's.
None of this is proof, obviously. But the hints appear to point to Charlie, whereas there has been no foreshadowing of the MK Caster Conspiracy having that level of power, or being that manipulative, whereas Charlie has been shown to be a behind-the-scenes manipulator quite regularly.
Again, this is not evidence of Charlie's involvement, only someone's involvement. Charlie has no known motive for these events nor the power, but others do -- Marie, the Conspiracy, and the Titans.
Police look to means, motive, and opportunity.
Marie has means -- scrolls from the MK. She has Motive -- her predictamancy concerning Peace on Erf. She has opportunity -- she is located not far from the hexes with the dwagons, plus Predictamancy can tell her when Stanley will come, letting her easily set up the effect without direct knowledge of Wanda's communication to Stanley.
The Titans are a big question mark. They may not have means (I suspect they locked themselves out from direct intervention in the game). They have motive (to end the game so they can rewrite the rules and start a new game) and opportunity (they're demi-gods... what would be beyond their capacity). More on this will appear in a thread i hope to finalize tonight.
The Conspiracy has means. Thinkamancy can Link to provide the power for a spell that could cause this effect. Marie has given them motive -- to prepare the way for Parson. Opportunity is the question -- whether they can actually affect such influence from the MK itself, or if they can get Free casters to the FAQ mountains.
Charlie lacks the means -- he would need to obtain casters from the MK. He does not have motive -- at the time, only money is his motivation, and there is no indication that his revenue stream would be improved by such interference in FAQ's welfare. And opportunity is a problem. Transporting casters across an unknown number of hexes in an undignified net is not an attractive option. Charlie's Turn order forces him to predict Stanley's choice of when to attack, since if he's involved in combat across the continent, he goes early. Stanley will likely be out of combat (since he wouldn't run off on such an adventure while in the midst of another War), so for the Luckamancy or whatever modified the popping rate has to be in place on the evening before Stanley leaves. Charlie can overcome the Opportunty problem, but you must give him Motive enough to Hire massively from the MK for this effort. That means, "Show me the profit."
So, even on a cursory basis, the only thing people seem to have for Charlie's involvement in this event is some kind of conviction that Charlie is the master of everything. Even if he is... show me why he cares. Marie has all three -- motive, means, and opportunity -- and makes the most likely candidate for this.