ftl wrote:He got to start casting the spell, see what it was like and what it would do, and then got cut off just before he could actually leave Erfworld.
So you don't consider it a contrived coincidence that Parson got hit by a beam, but you consider the timing contrived. In other words, the beam could have fallen at any random time, but some times are more random than other times. That sounds like making something out of nothing to me.
I wonder if the beam could have fallen after he read the scroll and disappeared from Erfworld. It seems unlikely since he has Predicted Fate that surely requires him to stick around for a while longer, and predictamancers seem to feel that no magic can ever make a Prediction wrong. When Parson was in the Magic Kingdom the predictamancers Predicted that he would get through the portal and then acted like it was inevitable even though there was a group of carnymancers standing there and determined to stop it.
On the other hand, Jojo implied that Carnymancy makes it possible to fight Fate and we know that Carnymancy is Fate magic. Not only is Carnymancy aligned with that axis, but we've seen it radically change the course of events by means of magically created improbable coincidence. Marie Lavraie also said that she wasn't surprised
Jojo tried to assassinate Parson, which seems strange if Fate says that any assassination attempt will fail. Jojo even explicitly said that the scroll would allow Parson to avoid his Fate, so maybe Parson reading that scroll is beyond the power of Predictamancy to Predict and therefore it actually had a chance of working and it was just luck that the roof happened to fall early enough to stop it.
If Carnymancy is incapable of changing the course of events to make a Prediction false, than I can't believe that neither Jojo nor Charlie know that. That seems like it would be covered in Carnymancer elementary school. Naturally they could both be lying about the scroll's effectiveness when they talk to Parson, but that would imply that they know Fate makes it impossible for the scroll to be read successfully, and if so then why give it to him? Is it possible that Charlie doesn't know about the Predictions for Parson even though there are supposed to be four of them
arranged by several separate groups? That seems like a huge intelligence failure for Charlie.
Even though predictamancers seem 100% certain of Predictions 100% of the time, it seems like we need to consider the possibility that Carnymancy really can stop a Prediction from happening. In that case maybe the scroll is actually part of Charlie's plan to kill Parson. Parson's Fate should guarantee that he won't be killed in this fire, but even without reading the scroll having the scroll has caused Parson to waste nearly all the time he had available thinking about the scroll. He was chatting with Charlie about the scroll, then all his toying with his bracer was also caused by the scroll. The scroll may even have been constructed to cause the confusing bracer answers just to waste more time. Without the scroll, Parson might have thought of a way to save himself and maybe that is what Fate expected him to do if this situation arose.